A new InsiderAdvantage survey conducted for FOX 5 and the Morris News Service shows that the race for the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate is a tight battle with early voting just over a week away.
The race for the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate shows political newcomer David Perdue leading 3 congressmen and a former Georgia Secretary of State.
David Perdue: 19%
Jack Kingston: 15%
Karen Handel: 13%
Paul Broun: 11%
Phil Gingrey: 9%
In the race for the GOP nomination for Governor of Georgia, incumbent Nathan Deal has an overwhelming lead over his two opponents. The results are:
Nathan Deal: 61%
David Pennington: 7%
John Barge: 4%
InsiderAdvantage/Fox5 Political Analyst Matt Towery said, "The Senate race remains virtually the same, with David Perdue leading the pack and Jack Kingston in second place.
Towery said, "Of note is the movement of Karen Handel to a solid third place. Handel shows the most momentum at the moment. Kingston has solidified second place with his more recent ‘Obamacare' ad featuring images of Barack Obama engaged in a leaving a faux voicemail for Kingston. But his first round of ads featuring an old station wagon clearly hurt him with female voters, who tend to dominate the metro-Atlanta electorate."
"Perdue leads among women in the poll. Handel, who has always polled less favorably with female voters, is facing the same predicament in this race. More of her support comes from male voters once again," said Towery.
"Paul Broun seems stuck at the same level as in recent polls, and both he and Phil Gingrey show little evidence of momentum", said Towery.
The survey of 804 likely voters in the Republican primary was conducted April 13-15 by combined telephone and online surveys, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4%. The survey asked voters if the election were held today, for whom they would vote. The results are:
"The most notable number in the poll is the solid 32% who are still undecided. From years of experience, I can usually get a feel for likely voter turnout based on the percentage of undecided voters in a poll prior to early voting. While any good news-quality poll will have a bigger undecided percentage than a partisan poll or consultants' polling, this number is higher than usual. Voters are not focusing on this race, or any others, and that is in part due to the non-competitive gubernatorial primary," Towery said.
"If voter turnout continues to appear ‘uninspired,' the race could be a matter of just a few points separating the first- and second-place Senate candidates who make the runoff from those who miss ‘the big dance' by just a few points.
"Finally, of note, both the full telephone and online surveys mirrored one another in the positioning of the candidates and reflected the same percentages within the two surveys' margins of error.
The survey was conducted with our research partner OpinionSavvy (www.opinionsavvy.com ).