New poll shows Perdue leading up-for-grabs Senate race - Atlanta News, Weather, Traffic, and Sports | FOX 5

New poll shows Perdue leading up-for-grabs Senate race

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A new InsiderAdvantage/FOX 5 poll shows political newcomer David Perdue leading the race for the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate but the race remains up for grabs.

The poll released Thursday shows Perdue in front of Congressmen Paul Broun, Jack Kingston and Phil Gingrey as well as former Secretary of State Karen Handel.

In the most exhaustive series of contemporaneous political polls ever conducted in Georgia, an InsiderAdvantage scientific phone poll conducted along with an InsiderAdvantage scientific online poll,  provide a look at some trends in the race for the GOP nomination for U.S. Senate is as of this week.

But a third "SuperPoll" of both phone and online results gives the most definitive view of the race to date.

The telephone survey of 434 likely voters indicates that if the primary election were held today respondents would vote as follows:

David Perdue: 19%

Paul Broun: 14%

Jack Kingston: 12%

Karen Handel: 11%

Phil Gingrey: 8%

Others: 5%

Undecided: 31%

The telephone poll has a margin of effort of 4.6 percent.

The InsiderAdvantage Online survey of 459 likely voters indicates that if the primary election were held today respondents would vote as follows:

David Perdue: 14%

Jack Kingston: 11%

Phil Gingrey: 7%

Paul Broun: 7%

Karen Handel: 3%

Others: 1%

Undecided: 57%

The online statewide survey has a margin of error of 4.5 %.

The InsiderAdvantage "SuperPoll" of telephone and online likely voters, equally weighted for with a margin of error 3.26%, shows the following:

David Perdue: 17%

Jack Kingston: 15%

Paul Broun: 10%

Phil Gingrey: 8%

Karen Handel: 5%

Other: 1%

Undecided: 44%

All surveys were conducted on March 23-24.

InsiderAdvantage CEO and FOX 5 Political Analyst Matt Towery said, "The three polls make one thing clear, businessman David Perdue is leading the race. His standout TV ad has pushed him ahead of more seasoned politicians and may well keep him headed towards a runoff in this primary. Both the telephone and online polls have the candidates within the same general percentages when the margin of error is applied, with the exception of Ms. Handel, who performs better in our telephone survey. But the likely real picture emerges with the results from our "SuperPoll" of both phone and online voters. The results are more logical. Perdue and Kingston are the only two candidates currently making large television buys and they are, in the "SuperPoll" both at the top of the heap. Broun has a natural base that appears to keep him near 10% and Gingrey's metro-Atlanta congressional seat gives him a constituency of about 8% who know him. Ms. Handel isn't too far behind, but because she has been off the political stage for two years and has yet to run ads, she lags behind a bit. This race is one that will be determined by television ads. Mr. Kingston's ads, which are statewide and have been running for weeks, have yielded less "bang for the buck" than Mr. Perdue's. This puts him at risk should Gingrey, Broun, or Handel mount a substantial effort on television. Mr. Perdue has been on an upward trajectory since his ads first ran and he has made the most progress (from virtually no presence in the polls) in the last few months. The race is just now starting to form and the percentage of undecided voters is likely higher than some polls have suggested. My best guess is that a little more than half of the likely voters have chosen a candidate. There is more than enough room for Mr. Perdue and Mr. Kingston to separate themselves from the others and move to a runoff or for one of the other candidates to replace Mr. Kingston in the second place position. But that will have to take place thru a strong television ad campaign."




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